Business development

Energy markets

The central hedging policy of DB Group aims to reduce energy price fluctuations. Our hedging activities noticeably curbed the development in DB Group’s operating business in 2022.

Brent oil

Brent / USD/barrel

2022

2021

Change

absolute

%

Average price

99.0

71.0

+28.0

+39.4

Highest price

139.1

86.7

+52.4

+60.4

Lowest price

75.1

50.6

+24.5

+48.4

Year-end price

85.9

77.8

+8.1

+10.4

Figures are based on information and estimates available as of January 2023.
Source: Thomson Reuters

The first half of 2022 was marked by strong price markups as a result of the war in Ukraine. From mid-2022, concerns about recession, interest rate hikes and Covid-19-related restrictions (in China, among others) significantly dampened the price of oil again. Overall, the price of oil in 2022 has risen by 40% on a dollar basis. This development was further exacerbated for the Eurozone by a weak euro.

Fuel prices in Germany (+27%) in 2022 were driven not only by the increase in oil prices, but also by an increase in CO₂ taxes. Rising fuel prices strengthen the competitive situation of the railways. In 2022, however, motorized individ­­ual transport continued to benefit from a preference for individual transport and the fuel discount from June to August.

Electricity and emissions certificates

 

2022

2021

Change

absolute

%

Base load power (following year) (€/MWh)

       

Average price

298.3

88.7

+209.6

+236

Highest price

1,050

335.0

+715.0

+213

Lowest price

108.8

47.9

+60.9

+127

Year-end price

215.0

120.1

+94.9

+79.0

Emissions certificates (€/t CO₂)

 

 

 

 

Average price

81.2

53.7

+27.5

+51.2

Highest price

99.2

90.8

+8.4

+9.3

Lowest price

55.0

31.3

+23.7

+75.7

Year-end price

84.0

80.7

+3.3

+4.1

Figures are based on information and estimates available as of January 2023.
Source: Thomson Reuters

Prices on the futures market for electricity rose very sharply in 2022. In addition to the prices for emissions allowances (European allowances under the European emissions trading system), the main drivers were the sharp rise in the price of natural gas and failures at French nuclear power plants.

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